Key Takeaways Polymarket traders give bitcoin just a 27% chance of hitting $100,000 before 2027, despite $75.1M in trading. Kalshi’s October forecast sits at $87,000, while its year-end bitcoin projection stands at $83,554. Polymarket bettors see a 57% chance of bitcoin touching $80,000 this October, versus 2% for $100,000. Bitcoin’s $100K Comeback Faces a Skeptical Betting Crowd Bitcoin’s six-figure price ambitions are getting a cold reception from prediction markets, where traders are putting real money behind decidedly modest expectations. On Oct. 13, Polymarket participants assigned just a 27% probability to bitcoin reaching $100,000 before 2027, while the odds of touching …


